Betting Lines
| Spread | WEB -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | WEB -900 NAU +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WEB +27 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | WEB -14.5 (+12.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.9 (+0.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WEB -12.1 (+14.9) | 145.7 (-2.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WEB -10.7 (+16.3) | 143.1 (-0.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WEB -11.1 (+15.9) | 144.2 (-1.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WEB -11.2 (+15.8) | 145.5 (-2.5) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | WEB 72 – 53 NAU |
| Jan 9, 2026 | WEB 78 – 65 NAU |
| Feb 4, 2025 | WEB 77 – 73 NAU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | NAU 80 – 77 WEB |
| Feb 2, 2024 | WEB 72 – 70 NAU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WEB | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 7-11 |
| Home | 12-2 | 7-5 |
| Away | 7-7 | 6-12 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.5 | 76.6 |
| Massey | 2.1 (#135) | -9.1 (#315) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#127) | -0.47 (#221) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.64 (#129) | -0.91 (#253) |
| RPI | 0.535 (#116) | 0.481 (#215) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WEB | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 30.5 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 23.5% | 23.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.4% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 76.4% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 28.0% |
Game Analysis
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