Betting Lines
| Spread | NAU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | NAU -155 WEB +135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NAU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NAU +3 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | NAU -5.2 (-2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.1 (+10.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NAU -2.7 (+0.3) | 144.8 (+12.2) | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NAU -1.7 (+1.3) | 142.7 (+14.3) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NAU -3.1 (-0.1) | 143.9 (+13.1) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NAU -3.2 (-0.2) | 144.8 (+12.2) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | WEB 72 – 53 NAU |
| Jan 9, 2026 | WEB 78 – 65 NAU |
| Feb 4, 2025 | WEB 77 – 73 NAU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | WEB 85 – 58 NAU |
| Feb 2, 2024 | WEB 72 – 70 NAU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NAU | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 12-22 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 5-13 |
| Home | 10-5 | 5-10 |
| Away | 7-8 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -4.9 (#255) | -6.0 (#269) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.92 (#258) | -1.26 (#282) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.33 (#257) | -1.50 (#276) |
| RPI | 0.434 (#294) | 0.447 (#276) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NAU | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 33.9% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 17.8% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.1% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 30.2% |
Game Analysis
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