Betting Lines
| Spread | NAU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | WEB +105 NAU -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WEB +4 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | NAU -0.4 (+4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.5 (+6.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NAU -0.2 (+4.2) | 139.8 (+10.2) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NAU -0.4 (+4.4) | 141.7 (+8.3) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NAU -0.4 (+4.4) | 142.5 (+7.5) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NAU -0.7 (+4.7) | 143.2 (+6.8) | 45% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | WEB 72 – 53 NAU |
| Jan 9, 2026 | WEB 78 – 65 NAU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | NAU 80 – 77 WEB |
| Mar 2, 2024 | WEB 85 – 58 NAU |
| Feb 2, 2024 | WEB 72 – 70 NAU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WEB | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-22 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 8-10 |
| Home | 5-10 | 10-5 |
| Away | 4-11 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 73.3 |
| Massey | -8.1 (#295) | -4.5 (#237) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.57 (#312) | -0.75 (#238) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.97 (#308) | -1.05 (#240) |
| RPI | 0.427 (#305) | 0.450 (#263) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WEB | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 1.37 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 13.6% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 76.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.6% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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