Betting Lines
| Spread | WEB -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | NAU +260 WEB -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NAU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WEB +2 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | WEB -8.7 (+6.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.2 (+4.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WEB -7.6 (+5.6) | 140.0 (+2.0) | 23% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WEB -7.7 (+5.7) | 138.1 (+3.9) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WEB -5.8 (+3.8) | 139.5 (+2.5) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WEB -6.1 (+4.1) | 141.1 (+0.9) | 22% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | WEB 72 – 53 NAU |
| Jan 9, 2026 | WEB 78 – 65 NAU |
| Feb 4, 2025 | WEB 77 – 73 NAU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | NAU 80 – 77 WEB |
| Mar 2, 2024 | WEB 85 – 58 NAU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NAU | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 11-7 |
| Home | 7-5 | 12-2 |
| Away | 6-12 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.6 | 69.5 |
| Massey | -9.1 (#309) | 3.1 (#123) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.13 (#188) | 0.09 (#163) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.64 (#230) | 0.42 (#147) |
| RPI | 0.501 (#169) | 0.491 (#190) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NAU | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 30.7 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 14.9% |
| ORB% | 23.0% | 24.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 26.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 77.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.7% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
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