Betting Lines
| Spread | WEB -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | NAU +130 WEB -155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NAU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WEB +13 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | WEB -3.0 (-10.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.3 (-7.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WEB -1.8 (-11.2) | 148.4 (-5.4) | 42% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WEB -2.0 (-11.0) | 146.1 (-3.1) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WEB -2.4 (-10.6) | 144.1 (-1.1) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WEB -2.2 (-10.8) | 145.2 (-2.2) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | WEB 72 – 53 NAU |
| Feb 4, 2025 | WEB 77 – 73 NAU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | NAU 80 – 77 WEB |
| Mar 2, 2024 | WEB 85 – 58 NAU |
| Feb 2, 2024 | WEB 72 – 70 NAU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NAU | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 10-8 |
| Home | 9-7 | 11-5 |
| Away | 1-13 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L5 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.1 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 79.1 |
| Massey | -7.4 (#281) | -0.7 (#177) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.49 (#290) | -0.83 (#247) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.86 (#280) | -0.71 (#216) |
| RPI | 0.393 (#339) | 0.448 (#268) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NAU | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 24.4% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 18.2% | 28.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
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