Betting Lines
| Spread | UNM -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | UNM -205 BOIS +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BOIS +1 | 181 | Lost |
| Massey | UNM -4.9 (-5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.4 (+28.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNM -5.8 (-6.8) | 149.5 (+31.5) | 73% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNM -6.0 (-7.0) | 148.7 (+32.3) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNM -5.8 (-6.8) | 148.3 (+32.7) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNM -5.6 (-6.6) | 150.4 (+30.6) | 73% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 31, 2025 | BOIS 62 – 53 UNM |
| Mar 15, 2025 | BOIS 72 – 69 UNM |
| Feb 20, 2025 | BOIS 86 – 78 UNM |
| Jan 18, 2025 | UNM 84 – 65 BOIS |
| Mar 15, 2024 | UNM 76 – 66 BOIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNM | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-11 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 12-8 |
| Home | 17-3 | 12-4 |
| Away | 7-5 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.8 | 77.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 73.2 |
| Massey | 12.3 (#45) | 10.5 (#55) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.20 (#44) | 1.62 (#63) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.74 (#48) | 1.92 (#69) |
| RPI | 0.599 (#35) | 0.587 (#47) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNM | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 27.1% | 33.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 76.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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