Betting Lines
| Spread | UNM -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | UNM -170 BOIS +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNM +19 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | UNM -2.0 (+17.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.8 (-8.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNM -2.3 (+16.7) | 147.3 (+1.7) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNM -3.1 (+15.9) | 150.4 (-1.4) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNM -2.5 (+16.5) | 149.4 (-0.4) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNM -2.1 (+16.9) | 150.0 (-1.0) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | BOIS 91 – 90 UNM |
| Dec 31, 2025 | BOIS 62 – 53 UNM |
| Mar 15, 2025 | BOIS 72 – 69 UNM |
| Feb 20, 2025 | BOIS 86 – 78 UNM |
| Mar 15, 2024 | UNM 76 – 66 BOIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNM | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 26-11 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 14-6 |
| Home | 15-1 | 13-3 |
| Away | 7-4 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 7-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.3 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 67.0 |
| Massey | 10.0 (#59) | 11.8 (#48) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.90 (#50) | 1.51 (#67) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.89 (#43) | 2.01 (#63) |
| RPI | 0.594 (#42) | 0.572 (#56) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNM | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 40.1 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 53.6% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 34.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 31.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 76.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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