Betting Lines
| Spread | BOIS -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | BOIS -210 UNM +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BOIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BOIS +8 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | BOIS -1.4 (+6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.2 (+11.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BOIS -2.6 (+5.4) | 146.5 (+17.5) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BOIS -2.0 (+6.0) | 145.7 (+18.3) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BOIS -1.9 (+6.1) | 145.7 (+18.3) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BOIS -1.7 (+6.3) | 146.7 (+17.3) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | BOIS 91 – 90 UNM |
| Dec 31, 2025 | BOIS 62 – 53 UNM |
| Mar 15, 2025 | BOIS 72 – 69 UNM |
| Jan 18, 2025 | UNM 84 – 65 BOIS |
| Mar 15, 2024 | UNM 76 – 66 BOIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BOIS | UNM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-11 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 17-3 |
| Home | 13-3 | 15-1 |
| Away | 6-5 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 7-3 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 79.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.0 | 70.6 |
| Massey | 11.7 (#49) | 13.4 (#37) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.59 (#62) | 2.75 (#20) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.10 (#61) | 3.87 (#16) |
| RPI | 0.569 (#59) | 0.616 (#22) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BOIS | UNM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 40.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 29.7% | 26.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 77.3% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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