Betting Lines
| Spread | UNM -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | UNM -120 BOIS +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BOIS +3 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | UNM -1.1 (-4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.4 (-8.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNM -1.5 (-4.5) | 138.5 (+2.5) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNM -2.5 (-5.5) | 141.6 (-0.6) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNM -1.5 (-4.5) | 140.5 (+0.5) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNM -1.1 (-4.1) | 141.8 (-0.8) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | BOIS 91 – 90 UNM |
| Dec 31, 2025 | BOIS 62 – 53 UNM |
| Feb 20, 2025 | BOIS 86 – 78 UNM |
| Jan 18, 2025 | UNM 84 – 65 BOIS |
| Mar 15, 2024 | UNM 76 – 66 BOIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNM | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 26-11 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 14-6 |
| Home | 15-1 | 13-3 |
| Away | 7-4 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 7-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.3 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 67.0 |
| Massey | 13.1 (#40) | 12.0 (#48) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.60 (#31) | 1.97 (#49) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.50 (#26) | 2.53 (#49) |
| RPI | 0.609 (#18) | 0.577 (#47) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNM | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 39.5 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 33.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 30.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 74.8% | 77.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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