Betting Lines
| Spread | BOIS -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | BOIS -230 UNM +190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BOIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BOIS +9 | 115 | Won |
| Massey | BOIS -6.5 (+2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.8 (-27.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BOIS -3.5 (+5.5) | 143.7 (-28.7) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BOIS -4.9 (+4.1) | 143.1 (-28.1) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BOIS -4.1 (+4.9) | 141.1 (-26.1) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BOIS -3.8 (+5.2) | 141.3 (-26.3) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | BOIS 91 – 90 UNM |
| Mar 15, 2025 | BOIS 72 – 69 UNM |
| Feb 20, 2025 | BOIS 86 – 78 UNM |
| Jan 18, 2025 | UNM 84 – 65 BOIS |
| Mar 15, 2024 | UNM 76 – 66 BOIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BOIS | UNM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 26-11 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 13-7 |
| Home | 12-4 | 17-3 |
| Away | 6-5 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.4 | 80.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 71.6 |
| Massey | 11.5 (#47) | 9.1 (#69) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.36 (#39) | 2.53 (#35) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.96 (#46) | 3.38 (#38) |
| RPI | 0.645 (#17) | 0.617 (#26) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BOIS | UNM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 53.6% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 32.5% | 29.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 76.9% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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