Betting Lines
| Spread | UNM -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | BOIS -111 UNM -111 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BOIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNM +10 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | UNM -1.7 (-8.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.2 (-11.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BOIS -0.1 (-10.1) | 144.9 (-2.9) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BOIS -0.7 (-10.7) | 148.3 (-6.3) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BOIS -0.1 (-10.1) | 151.6 (-9.6) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNM -0.1 (-9.9) | 148.2 (-6.2) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | BOIS 91 – 90 UNM |
| Dec 31, 2025 | BOIS 62 – 53 UNM |
| Mar 15, 2025 | BOIS 72 – 69 UNM |
| Feb 20, 2025 | BOIS 86 – 78 UNM |
| Jan 18, 2025 | UNM 84 – 65 BOIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BOIS | UNM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 26-10 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 10-8 |
| Home | 13-3 | 13-3 |
| Away | 7-3 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 2-5 | 8-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.6 | 80.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 71.2 |
| Massey | 12.1 (#40) | 13.8 (#21) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.17 (#27) | 2.03 (#38) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.36 (#43) | 2.48 (#36) |
| RPI | 0.593 (#27) | 0.593 (#26) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BOIS | UNM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 33.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.9% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 77.2% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
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