Betting Lines
| Spread | UALB -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | UALB -192 UML +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UALB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UML +10 | 168 | Lost |
| Massey | UALB -4.7 (-14.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.7 (+20.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UALB -4.0 (-14.0) | 138.3 (+29.7) | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UALB -3.4 (-13.4) | 137.0 (+31.0) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UALB -3.9 (-13.9) | 137.3 (+30.7) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UALB -3.9 (-13.9) | 138.6 (+29.4) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | UML 81 – 76 UALB |
| Jan 3, 2026 | UML 83 – 71 UALB |
| Feb 13, 2025 | UALB 90 – 88 UML |
| Jan 4, 2025 | UML 73 – 69 UALB |
| Feb 24, 2024 | UML 104 – 95 UALB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UALB | UML |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 9-7 |
| Home | 6-5 | 10-4 |
| Away | 4-13 | 5-14 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.7 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 77.4 |
| Massey | -10.7 (#316) | -12.3 (#334) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.17 (#339) | -2.06 (#337) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.48 (#328) | -2.55 (#330) |
| RPI | 0.413 (#327) | 0.431 (#304) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UALB | UML |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 16.1% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 66.6% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.0% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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