Betting Lines
| Spread | UML -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | UML -155 UALB +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UML win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UML +5 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | UML -3.1 (+1.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.3 (+8.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UML -2.3 (+2.7) | 141.0 (+16.0) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UML -2.6 (+2.4) | 139.7 (+17.3) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UML -2.3 (+2.7) | 139.5 (+17.5) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UML -2.4 (+2.6) | 139.5 (+17.5) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | UML 89 – 79 UALB |
| Jan 3, 2026 | UML 83 – 71 UALB |
| Feb 13, 2025 | UALB 90 – 88 UML |
| Jan 4, 2025 | UML 73 – 69 UALB |
| Feb 24, 2024 | UML 104 – 95 UALB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UML | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 7-9 |
| Home | 10-4 | 6-5 |
| Away | 5-14 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 68.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 74.5 |
| Massey | -10.5 (#314) | -10.6 (#316) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.76 (#323) | -2.21 (#342) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.16 (#319) | -2.56 (#333) |
| RPI | 0.465 (#256) | 0.431 (#319) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UML | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 17.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.3% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.