Betting Lines
| Spread | UML -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Under |
| Money | UALB +105 UML -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UALB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UML +4 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | UALB -1.1 (-5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 165.2 (-23.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UALB -0.4 (-4.4) | 155.4 (-13.4) | 44% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UALB -0.2 (-4.2) | 156.8 (-14.8) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UALB -0.5 (-4.5) | 158.7 (-16.7) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UALB -0.1 (-4.1) | 159.2 (-17.2) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | UML 81 – 76 UALB |
| Feb 8, 2026 | UML 89 – 79 UALB |
| Jan 3, 2026 | UML 83 – 71 UALB |
| Feb 13, 2025 | UALB 90 – 88 UML |
| Feb 24, 2024 | UML 104 – 95 UALB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UALB | UML |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 6-10 |
| Home | 7-7 | 14-4 |
| Away | 8-8 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.6 | 76.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.8 | 76.1 |
| Massey | -4.3 (#242) | -1.3 (#182) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.45 (#210) | 0.67 (#117) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.61 (#216) | 1.00 (#110) |
| RPI | 0.475 (#212) | 0.536 (#104) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UALB | UML |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 49.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 30.2 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 55.3% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 26.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 30.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.0% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.4% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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