Betting Lines
| Spread | STAN -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | STAN -440 GT +340 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STAN +23 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | STAN -8.4 (+14.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.3 (+15.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STAN -8.9 (+14.1) | 145.4 (+21.6) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STAN -8.7 (+14.3) | 144.5 (+22.5) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STAN -7.7 (+15.3) | 144.6 (+22.4) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STAN -8.5 (+14.5) | 146.8 (+20.2) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2025 | GT 60 – 52 STAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STAN | GT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 2-16 |
| Home | 12-6 | 10-9 |
| Away | 5-5 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L12 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.0 | 77.4 |
| Massey | 8.0 (#78) | 2.6 (#126) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.71 (#61) | -0.01 (#163) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.95 (#66) | -0.11 (#174) |
| RPI | 0.578 (#56) | 0.495 (#201) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STAN | GT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.4% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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