Betting Lines
| Spread | STAN -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | GT +115 STAN -135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GT +8 | 112 | Won |
| Massey | STAN -0.3 (+8.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.5 (-36.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 38% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STAN -0.5 (+8.5) | 145.8 (-33.8) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GT -0.5 (+7.5) | 145.5 (-33.5) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GT -0.7 (+7.3) | 146.2 (-34.2) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GT -0.5 (+7.5) | 146.8 (-34.8) | 53% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | STAN 95 – 72 GT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GT | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-17 | 21-14 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 11-9 |
| Home | 14-6 | 17-3 |
| Away | 2-9 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 73.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 70.7 |
| Massey | 3.7 (#108) | 7.1 (#82) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.23 (#158) | 1.56 (#63) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#149) | 1.50 (#79) |
| RPI | 0.477 (#221) | 0.560 (#68) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GT | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 28.1% |
Game Analysis
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