Betting Lines
| Spread | LMU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | LMU -265 USD +215 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LMU +20 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | LMU -6.5 (+13.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.5 (-5.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LMU -4.9 (+15.1) | 148.1 (-2.1) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LMU -5.9 (+14.1) | 148.9 (-2.9) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LMU -5.5 (+14.5) | 145.9 (+0.1) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LMU -5.1 (+14.9) | 147.0 (-1.0) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | USD 66 – 62 LMU |
| Feb 21, 2026 | LMU 77 – 65 USD |
| Mar 8, 2025 | LMU 100 – 74 USD |
| Feb 1, 2025 | LMU 78 – 62 USD |
| Jan 19, 2025 | LMU 77 – 70 USD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LMU | USD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 5-13 |
| Home | 10-8 | 9-8 |
| Away | 4-7 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.2 | 72.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 78.8 |
| Massey | 0.1 (#167) | -3.3 (#222) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.06 (#156) | -0.65 (#226) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.20 (#149) | -0.72 (#218) |
| RPI | 0.502 (#178) | 0.457 (#248) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LMU | USD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 63.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 27.8% |
Game Analysis
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