Betting Lines
| Spread | LMU -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | LMU -900 USD +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LMU +7 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | LMU -12.1 (-5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.9 (+11.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LMU -11.0 (-4.0) | 140.0 (+7.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LMU -8.7 (-1.7) | 141.1 (+5.9) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LMU -10.1 (-3.1) | 138.6 (+8.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LMU -10.4 (-3.4) | 138.2 (+8.8) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | USD 66 – 62 LMU |
| Feb 21, 2026 | LMU 77 – 65 USD |
| Feb 8, 2026 | LMU 83 – 63 USD |
| Mar 8, 2025 | LMU 100 – 74 USD |
| Feb 1, 2025 | LMU 78 – 62 USD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LMU | USD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 6-27 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 2-16 |
| Home | 11-6 | 5-13 |
| Away | 3-8 | 0-12 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 80.2 |
| Massey | 0.2 (#158) | -8.3 (#302) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.86 (#101) | -2.36 (#340) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.12 (#95) | -2.53 (#324) |
| RPI | 0.551 (#84) | 0.406 (#327) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LMU | USD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 28.1% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 45.4% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 24.8% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 18.7% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 31.2% |
Game Analysis
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