Betting Lines
| Spread | LMU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | USD +110 LMU -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LMU +12 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | LMU -1.3 (-10.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.4 (-9.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LMU -0.6 (-11.4) | 149.8 (-7.8) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USD -0.0 (-12.0) | 147.1 (-5.1) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LMU -0.1 (-11.9) | 147.7 (-5.7) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USD -0.1 (-12.1) | 149.0 (-7.0) | 52% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | USD 66 – 62 LMU |
| Feb 8, 2026 | LMU 83 – 63 USD |
| Mar 8, 2025 | LMU 100 – 74 USD |
| Feb 1, 2025 | LMU 78 – 62 USD |
| Jan 19, 2025 | LMU 77 – 70 USD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USD | LMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 6-12 |
| Home | 9-8 | 10-8 |
| Away | 2-11 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.8 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.8 | 72.6 |
| Massey | -3.9 (#232) | 0.4 (#154) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.71 (#232) | -0.16 (#181) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.76 (#227) | 0.06 (#161) |
| RPI | 0.446 (#286) | 0.485 (#216) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USD | LMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 30.8 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 64.0% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.8% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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