Betting Lines
| Spread | LMU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | LMU -360 USD +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LMU +26 | 174 | Won |
| Massey | LMU -8.4 (+17.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.2 (+32.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LMU -7.6 (+18.4) | 144.7 (+29.3) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LMU -6.3 (+19.7) | 142.9 (+31.1) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LMU -8.4 (+17.6) | 142.8 (+31.2) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LMU -7.4 (+18.6) | 143.9 (+30.1) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | USD 66 – 62 LMU |
| Feb 21, 2026 | LMU 77 – 65 USD |
| Feb 8, 2026 | LMU 83 – 63 USD |
| Feb 1, 2025 | LMU 78 – 62 USD |
| Jan 19, 2025 | LMU 77 – 70 USD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LMU | USD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 6-27 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 2-16 |
| Home | 11-6 | 5-13 |
| Away | 3-8 | 0-12 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 80.2 |
| Massey | 0.0 (#158) | -8.4 (#297) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.30 (#146) | -2.36 (#344) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.32 (#146) | -2.59 (#335) |
| RPI | 0.513 (#159) | 0.403 (#344) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LMU | USD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 29.2% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 22.7% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 34.0% |
Game Analysis
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