Betting Lines
| Spread | LMU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | LMU -270 USD +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USD +4 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | LMU -5.2 (-9.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.3 (-22.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LMU -4.0 (-8.0) | 143.9 (-15.9) | 68% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LMU -4.3 (-8.3) | 145.3 (-17.3) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LMU -4.3 (-8.3) | 142.1 (-14.1) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LMU -4.3 (-8.3) | 143.5 (-15.5) | 70% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | LMU 77 – 65 USD |
| Feb 8, 2026 | LMU 83 – 63 USD |
| Mar 8, 2025 | LMU 100 – 74 USD |
| Feb 1, 2025 | LMU 78 – 62 USD |
| Jan 19, 2025 | LMU 77 – 70 USD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LMU | USD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 5-13 |
| Home | 10-8 | 9-8 |
| Away | 4-7 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.2 | 72.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 78.8 |
| Massey | 0.4 (#156) | -4.8 (#244) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.12 (#170) | -0.94 (#250) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.06 (#161) | -1.02 (#243) |
| RPI | 0.491 (#204) | 0.435 (#309) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LMU | USD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 30.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 55.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 64.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 29.2% |
Game Analysis
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