Betting Lines
| Spread | LMU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | USD +290 LMU -380 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LMU +16 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | LMU -5.5 (-10.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.7 (-0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LMU -5.8 (-10.2) | 141.4 (-1.4) | 32% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LMU -4.7 (-11.3) | 141.3 (-1.3) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LMU -5.9 (-10.1) | 138.7 (+1.3) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LMU -5.6 (-10.4) | 139.1 (+0.9) | 31% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | USD 66 – 62 LMU |
| Feb 21, 2026 | LMU 77 – 65 USD |
| Feb 8, 2026 | LMU 83 – 63 USD |
| Mar 8, 2025 | LMU 100 – 74 USD |
| Jan 19, 2025 | LMU 77 – 70 USD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USD | LMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-27 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 8-10 |
| Home | 5-13 | 11-6 |
| Away | 0-12 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.2 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -8.2 (#295) | 0.6 (#155) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.50 (#345) | 0.90 (#98) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.71 (#335) | 1.10 (#96) |
| RPI | 0.399 (#337) | 0.535 (#116) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USD | LMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 29.0% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.8% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.1% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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