They smelled of pubs and Wormwood Scrubs and too many right wing meetings. "Down in the Tube Station at Midnight" - The Jam
West Coast Conference · Jenny Craig Pavilion · February 1, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread LMU -7.5 Away covered
O/U 144.5 Under
Money USD +290 / LMU -380
Model Predictions
Spread Total USD win
Actual LMU +16 140 Lost
Massey LMU -5.5 (-10.5)
Massey Totals 140.7 (-0.7)
Bradley-Terry 6%
Weighted B-T 4%
Efficiency Plus ML LMU -4.7 (-11.3) 141.3 (-1.3) 33%
Baseline Tuned ML LMU -5.9 (-10.1) 138.7 (+1.3) 25%
Baseline ML LMU -5.6 (-10.4) 139.1 (+0.9) 31%
Baseline Plus ML LMU -5.8 (-10.2) 141.4 (-1.4) 32%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 6, 2026 USD 6662 LMU
Feb 21, 2026 LMU 7765 USD
Feb 8, 2026 LMU 8363 USD
Mar 8, 2025 LMU 10074 USD
Jan 19, 2025 LMU 7770 USD

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings USD LMU
Overall 6-27 17-15
Conference 2-16 8-10
Home 5-13 11-6
Away 0-12 3-8
Neutral 1-2 3-1
Last 5 0-5 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 70.2 70.3
Avg Pts Against 80.2 72.1
Massey -8.2 (#295) 0.6 (#155)
Bradley-Terry -2.50 (#345) 0.90 (#98)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.71 (#335) 1.10 (#96)
RPI 0.399 (#337) 0.535 (#116)
Shooting & Four Factors USD LMU
FG% 40.5% 42.9%
3PT% 29.0% 33.1%
REB / G 34.7 34.2
OREB / G 11.2 8.6
AST / TO 0.81 1.24
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 45.8% 49.7%
TOV% 19.2% 15.8%
ORB% 29.4% 24.5%
FT Rate 21.0% 20.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.8% 47.8%
Opp TOV% 18.6% 15.6%
DRB% 68.0% 69.9%
Opp FT Rate 34.1% 20.8%

Game Analysis

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