Betting Lines
| Spread | WICH -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | TULN +180 WICH -218 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TULN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WICH +14 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | WICH -6.1 (-7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.6 (-12.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WICH -4.2 (-9.8) | 144.1 (-8.1) | 35% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WICH -4.6 (-9.4) | 146.6 (-10.6) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WICH -3.9 (-10.1) | 145.4 (-9.4) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WICH -4.8 (-9.2) | 144.8 (-8.8) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 23, 2025 | WICH 78 – 67 TULN |
| Mar 9, 2024 | TULN 85 – 75 WICH |
| Mar 11, 2023 | TULN 82 – 76 WICH |
| Feb 26, 2023 | WICH 83 – 76 TULN |
| Jan 26, 2023 | TULN 95 – 90 WICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TULN | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 13-5 |
| Home | 10-8 | 15-3 |
| Away | 6-4 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 77.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 70.8 |
| Massey | -2.3 (#204) | 6.8 (#89) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.12 (#153) | 0.44 (#126) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.26 (#190) | 0.64 (#118) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#155) | 0.521 (#128) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TULN | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 30.1 | 40.4 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 14.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 22.3% | 38.7% |
| FT Rate | 34.6% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 64.1% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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