Don't you understand that's not my problem? "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
Tulane Green Wave
82 – 76
FINAL Neutral Conference American Athletic Conference
Wichita State Shockers
American Conference · Dickies Arena (Neutral) · March 11, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread TULN -2.5 Home covered
O/U 150.5 Over
Money TULN -150 / WICH +126
Model Predictions
Spread Total TULN win
Actual TULN +6 158 Won
Massey TULN -0.4 (+5.6) — —
Massey Totals — 151.7 (+6.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 61% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 59% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML WICH -0.2 (+6.2) 151.4 (+6.6) 49% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WICH -0.2 (+6.2) 151.5 (+6.5) 50% ✓
Baseline Plus ML WICH -0.2 (+6.2) 153.7 (+4.3) 50% ✗
Baseline ML WICH -0.5 (+6.5) 151.0 (+7.0) 50% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 8, 2026 WICH 75 – 61 TULN
Feb 23, 2025 WICH 78 – 67 TULN
Mar 9, 2024 TULN 85 – 75 WICH
Feb 26, 2023 WICH 83 – 76 TULN
Jan 26, 2023 TULN 95 – 90 WICH

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings TULN WICH
Overall 20-11 17-15
Conference 12-6 9-9
Home 12-3 8-9
Away 5-4 7-4
Neutral 3-4 2-2
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 79.9 71.0
Avg Pts Against 77.2 68.5
Massey 4.8 (#100) 4.5 (#104)
Bradley-Terry 0.99 (#92) 0.54 (#123)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.14 (#95) 0.78 (#113)
RPI 0.532 (#113) 0.520 (#135)
Shooting & Four Factors TULN WICH
FG% 46.7% 45.3%
3PT% 34.3% 30.6%
REB / G 32.9 36.2
OREB / G 6.5 9.5
AST / TO 1.41 1.04
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.2% 51.0%
TOV% 14.9% 18.5%
ORB% 18.7% 29.0%
FT Rate 27.7% 22.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.5% 47.2%
Opp TOV% 19.7% 17.0%
DRB% 69.7% 71.7%
Opp FT Rate 20.5% 18.3%

Game Analysis

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