They smelled of pubs and Wormwood Scrubs and too many right wing meetings. "Down in the Tube Station at Midnight" - The Jam
American Conference · Avron B. Fogelman Arena in the Devlin Fieldhouse · March 9, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread TULN -3.5 Home covered
O/U 154.5 Over
Money TULN -175 / WICH +138
Model Predictions
Spread Total TULN win
Actual TULN +10 160 Won
Massey TULN -4.7 (+5.3)
Massey Totals 160.5 (-0.5)
Bradley-Terry 66%
Weighted B-T 69%
Baseline Plus ML TULN -4.2 (+5.8) 155.2 (+4.8) 68%
Model 4 ML TULN -3.3 (+6.7) 154.1 (+5.9) 63%
Model 3 ML TULN -4.1 (+5.9) 153.8 (+6.2) 68%
Baseline ML TULN -3.8 (+6.2) 153.7 (+6.3) 73%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 8, 2026 WICH 7561 TULN
Feb 23, 2025 WICH 7867 TULN
Mar 11, 2023 TULN 8276 WICH
Feb 26, 2023 WICH 8376 TULN
Jan 26, 2023 TULN 9590 WICH

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings TULN WICH
Overall 14-17 15-19
Conference 5-13 5-13
Home 11-6 10-5
Away 2-8 2-9
Neutral 1-3 3-5
Last 5 0-5 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 81.5 72.1
Avg Pts Against 80.6 73.3
Massey 2.7 (#127) 1.2 (#149)
Bradley-Terry -0.06 (#175) -0.14 (#186)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.08 (#157) -0.06 (#171)
RPI 0.478 (#232) 0.493 (#193)
Shooting & Four Factors TULN WICH
FG% 47.7% 44.6%
3PT% 35.1% 32.4%
REB / G 32.6 38.9
OREB / G 6.7 11.2
AST / TO 1.21 0.91
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.0% 49.7%
TOV% 15.0% 18.2%
ORB% 19.9% 31.0%
FT Rate 33.4% 18.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.3% 48.1%
Opp TOV% 17.5% 15.2%
DRB% 67.5% 71.6%
Opp FT Rate 23.5% 20.2%

Game Analysis

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