He took it all too far, but boy could he play guitar. "Ziggy Stardust" - David Bowie
American Conference · Avron B. Fogelman Arena in the Devlin Fieldhouse · March 9, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread TULN -3.5 Home covered
O/U 154.5 Over
Money TULN -175 / WICH +138
Model Predictions
Spread Total TULN win
Actual TULN +10 160 Won
Massey TULN -4.7 (+5.3) — —
Massey Totals — 160.5 (-0.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 66% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 69% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML TULN -4.1 (+5.9) 153.8 (+6.2) 68% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ TULN -3.3 (+6.7) 154.1 (+5.9) 63% ✓
Baseline Plus ML TULN -4.2 (+5.8) 155.2 (+4.8) 68% ✓
Baseline ML TULN -3.8 (+6.2) 153.7 (+6.3) 73% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 8, 2026 WICH 75 – 61 TULN
Feb 23, 2025 WICH 78 – 67 TULN
Mar 11, 2023 TULN 82 – 76 WICH
Feb 26, 2023 WICH 83 – 76 TULN
Jan 26, 2023 TULN 95 – 90 WICH

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings TULN WICH
Overall 14-17 15-19
Conference 5-13 5-13
Home 11-6 10-5
Away 2-8 2-9
Neutral 1-3 3-5
Last 5 0-5 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 81.5 72.1
Avg Pts Against 80.6 73.3
Massey 2.7 (#127) 1.2 (#149)
Bradley-Terry -0.06 (#175) -0.14 (#186)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.08 (#157) -0.06 (#171)
RPI 0.478 (#232) 0.493 (#193)
Shooting & Four Factors TULN WICH
FG% 47.7% 44.6%
3PT% 35.1% 32.4%
REB / G 32.6 38.9
OREB / G 6.7 11.2
AST / TO 1.21 0.91
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.0% 49.7%
TOV% 15.0% 18.2%
ORB% 19.9% 31.0%
FT Rate 33.4% 18.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.3% 48.1%
Opp TOV% 17.5% 15.2%
DRB% 67.5% 71.6%
Opp FT Rate 23.5% 20.2%

Game Analysis

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