Betting Lines
| Spread | CLEM -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | CAL +164 CLEM -198 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLEM +22 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | CLEM -1.6 (-20.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.3 (-6.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLEM -1.3 (-20.7) | 136.0 (-4.0) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CAL -0.1 (-22.1) | 134.4 (-2.4) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CAL -0.1 (-22.1) | 134.2 (-2.2) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CAL -0.1 (-22.1) | 134.2 (-2.2) | 53% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 5, 2025 | CLEM 80 – 68 CAL |
| Nov 26, 2022 | CLEM 67 – 59 CAL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAL | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 12-6 |
| Home | 17-5 | 13-3 |
| Away | 4-6 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 66.7 |
| Massey | 10.2 (#56) | 14.8 (#34) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.27 (#43) | 2.84 (#27) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.84 (#46) | 3.51 (#31) |
| RPI | 0.586 (#48) | 0.611 (#31) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAL | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 37.8% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 53.6% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 14.9% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 30.8% | 28.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 46.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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