Betting Lines
| Spread | CLEM -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 124.5 Over |
| Money | CAL +350 CLEM -400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLEM +8 | 126 | Lost |
| Massey | CLEM -4.5 (-3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.2 (-0.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLEM -5.5 (-2.5) | 129.6 (-3.6) | 30% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLEM -5.5 (-2.5) | 126.5 (-0.5) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLEM -4.6 (-3.4) | 130.0 (-4.0) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLEM -3.9 (-4.1) | 129.9 (-3.9) | 31% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | CLEM 77 – 55 CAL |
| Jan 5, 2025 | CLEM 80 – 68 CAL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAL | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3-29 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 14-6 |
| Home | 3-14 | 15-2 |
| Away | 0-12 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L16 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 58.3 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 67.9 |
| Massey | -5.9 (#284) | -1.4 (#208) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.84 (#339) | -0.07 (#184) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.67 (#332) | -0.48 (#207) |
| RPI | 0.372 (#324) | 0.491 (#189) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAL | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 39.1% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.63 | 1.48 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 54.4% |
| TOV% | 25.1% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 29.3% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 75.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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