Betting Lines
| Spread | CLEM -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | CLEM -2000 CAL +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLEM +12 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | CLEM -13.7 (-1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.2 (-4.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLEM -13.2 (-1.2) | 150.2 (-2.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLEM -12.4 (-0.4) | 148.3 (-0.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLEM -12.1 (-0.1) | 149.1 (-1.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLEM -11.6 (+0.4) | 150.3 (-2.3) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | CLEM 77 – 55 CAL |
| Nov 26, 2022 | CLEM 67 – 59 CAL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLEM | CAL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-7 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 6-14 |
| Home | 15-2 | 11-6 |
| Away | 9-3 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.1 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 76.8 |
| Massey | 12.5 (#45) | 3.0 (#115) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.46 (#36) | 0.34 (#141) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.15 (#39) | 0.35 (#146) |
| RPI | 0.622 (#28) | 0.517 (#140) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLEM | CAL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 37.6% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 37.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 31.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.6% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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