And the only safe place to live is on an Indian reservation. "Ball of Confusion" - The Temptations
Big 12 Conference · Hope Coliseum · February 8, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread TTU -4.5 Away covered
O/U 139.5 Under
Money WVU +180 / TTU -218
Model Predictions
Spread Total WVU win
Actual TTU +7 133 Lost
Massey TTU -5.6 (-1.4)
Massey Totals 138.6 (-5.6)
Bradley-Terry 25%
Weighted B-T 24%
Efficiency Plus ML TTU -2.8 (-4.2) 135.5 (-2.5) 37%
Baseline Tuned ML TTU -3.4 (-3.6) 131.1 (+1.9) 35%
Baseline ML TTU -3.6 (-3.4) 133.2 (-0.2) 39%
Baseline Plus ML TTU -3.5 (-3.5) 134.1 (-1.1) 42%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 22, 2025 TTU 7351 WVU
Mar 2, 2024 TTU 8170 WVU
Mar 9, 2023 WVU 7862 TTU
Feb 18, 2023 TTU 7872 WVU
Jan 26, 2023 WVU 7661 TTU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WVU TTU
Overall 21-14 23-11
Conference 9-9 12-6
Home 15-3 14-2
Away 3-6 5-5
Neutral 3-5 4-4
Last 5 3-2 3-2
Streak W3 L1
Avg Pts For 70.6 80.3
Avg Pts Against 65.7 73.1
Massey 9.5 (#62) 18.0 (#23)
Bradley-Terry 1.73 (#60) 3.34 (#16)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.36 (#57) 4.08 (#20)
RPI 0.543 (#89) 0.646 (#8)
Shooting & Four Factors WVU TTU
FG% 44.5% 46.7%
3PT% 35.3% 38.6%
REB / G 35.2 37.7
OREB / G 10.3 12.3
AST / TO 1.18 1.55
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.1% 55.8%
TOV% 17.3% 15.0%
ORB% 30.7% 34.0%
FT Rate 24.9% 19.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.9% 50.3%
Opp TOV% 18.0% 15.6%
DRB% 73.1% 71.0%
Opp FT Rate 19.4% 22.4%

Game Analysis

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