Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | WVU +180 TTU -218 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TTU +7 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | TTU -5.6 (-1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.6 (-5.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TTU -3.5 (-3.5) | 134.1 (-1.1) | 42% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TTU -2.8 (-4.2) | 135.5 (-2.5) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TTU -3.4 (-3.6) | 131.1 (+1.9) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TTU -3.6 (-3.4) | 133.2 (-0.2) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2025 | TTU 73 – 51 WVU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | TTU 81 – 70 WVU |
| Mar 9, 2023 | WVU 78 – 62 TTU |
| Feb 18, 2023 | TTU 78 – 72 WVU |
| Jan 26, 2023 | WVU 76 – 61 TTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WVU | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 12-6 |
| Home | 15-3 | 14-2 |
| Away | 3-6 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 3-5 | 4-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 80.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.7 | 73.1 |
| Massey | 9.5 (#62) | 18.0 (#23) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.73 (#60) | 3.34 (#16) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.36 (#57) | 4.08 (#20) |
| RPI | 0.543 (#89) | 0.646 (#8) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WVU | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 38.6% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.55 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 55.8% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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