Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | TTU -188 WVU +138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WVU +15 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | TTU -1.3 (-16.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.6 (-5.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TTU -0.2 (-15.2) | 142.8 (-5.8) | 49% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TTU -1.9 (-16.9) | 139.1 (-2.1) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TTU -0.8 (-15.8) | 142.3 (-5.3) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TTU -0.6 (-15.6) | 141.7 (-4.7) | 52% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | TTU 70 – 63 WVU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | TTU 73 – 51 WVU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | TTU 81 – 70 WVU |
| Mar 9, 2023 | WVU 78 – 62 TTU |
| Feb 18, 2023 | TTU 78 – 72 WVU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TTU | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 7-11 |
| Home | 11-6 | 13-4 |
| Away | 3-7 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L4 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 10.2 (#41) | 12.4 (#27) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.53 (#128) | 1.67 (#52) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.80 (#119) | 2.60 (#34) |
| RPI | 0.506 (#164) | 0.576 (#56) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TTU | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 28.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.8% | 22.1% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 29.9% |
Game Analysis
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