All my failings exposed, gets a taste in my mouth as desperation takes hold "Love Will Tear Us Apart" - Joy Division
West Virginia Mountaineers
78 – 62
FINAL Neutral Conference Big 12
Texas Tech Red Raiders
Big 12 Conference · T-Mobile Center (Neutral) · March 9, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread WVU -3.5 Home covered
O/U 145.5 Under
Money WVU -180 / TTU +160
Model Predictions
Spread Total WVU win
Actual WVU +16 140 Won
Massey WVU -3.0 (+13.0) — —
Massey Totals — 145.2 (-5.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 68% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 70% ✓
Baseline Plus ML WVU -2.1 (+13.9) 144.6 (-4.6) 62% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WVU -2.5 (+13.5) 142.4 (-2.4) 55% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML WVU -2.5 (+13.5) 144.6 (-4.6) 61% ✓
Baseline ML WVU -2.5 (+13.5) 145.2 (-5.2) 62% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 8, 2026 TTU 70 – 63 WVU
Feb 22, 2025 TTU 73 – 51 WVU
Mar 2, 2024 TTU 81 – 70 WVU
Feb 18, 2023 TTU 78 – 72 WVU
Jan 26, 2023 WVU 76 – 61 TTU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WVU TTU
Overall 19-15 16-16
Conference 7-11 5-13
Home 13-4 11-6
Away 3-8 3-7
Neutral 3-3 2-3
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Streak L2 L4
Avg Pts For 76.0 73.3
Avg Pts Against 70.9 69.0
Massey 13.6 (#16) 10.6 (#40)
Bradley-Terry 2.07 (#33) 1.33 (#74)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.79 (#24) 1.95 (#57)
RPI 0.576 (#50) 0.500 (#175)
Shooting & Four Factors WVU TTU
FG% 45.5% 46.2%
3PT% 35.2% 34.8%
REB / G 33.8 35.1
OREB / G 11.1 10.3
AST / TO 1.00 0.95
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.9% 52.6%
TOV% 18.6% 19.7%
ORB% 33.8% 31.7%
FT Rate 30.2% 25.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.7% 48.9%
Opp TOV% 21.0% 20.1%
DRB% 70.9% 70.5%
Opp FT Rate 28.6% 20.1%

Game Analysis

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