Betting Lines
| Spread | UK -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | UK -115 TENN -105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UK +3 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | UK -1.4 (+1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.1 (-3.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UK -2.1 (+0.9) | 144.2 (+0.8) | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UK -2.0 (+1.0) | 145.0 (-0.0) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UK -1.1 (+1.9) | 146.9 (-1.9) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UK -1.9 (+1.1) | 146.6 (-1.6) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | UK 80 – 78 TENN |
| Mar 28, 2025 | TENN 78 – 65 UK |
| Feb 12, 2025 | UK 75 – 64 TENN |
| Jan 29, 2025 | UK 78 – 73 TENN |
| Mar 9, 2024 | UK 85 – 81 TENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UK | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-14 | 25-12 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 11-7 |
| Home | 14-4 | 14-3 |
| Away | 4-6 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 6-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.5 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 69.6 |
| Massey | 17.2 (#28) | 18.8 (#20) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.79 (#30) | 3.04 (#22) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.55 (#30) | 4.07 (#21) |
| RPI | 0.601 (#34) | 0.611 (#30) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UK | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 47.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 43.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 15.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.61 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 53.5% |
| TOV% | 14.6% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 34.5% | 45.2% |
| FT Rate | 27.8% | 28.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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