Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | TENN -215 UK +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +13 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -2.9 (+10.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.4 (-2.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -4.4 (+8.6) | 148.4 (-5.4) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -4.9 (+8.1) | 145.5 (-2.5) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -5.3 (+7.7) | 145.2 (-2.2) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -5.6 (+7.4) | 144.0 (-1.0) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | UK 74 – 71 TENN |
| Jan 17, 2026 | UK 80 – 78 TENN |
| Feb 12, 2025 | UK 75 – 64 TENN |
| Jan 29, 2025 | UK 78 – 73 TENN |
| Mar 9, 2024 | UK 85 – 81 TENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | UK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-8 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 10-8 |
| Home | 16-1 | 15-3 |
| Away | 6-5 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 8-2 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 84.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.1 | 77.2 |
| Massey | 21.7 (#6) | 18.8 (#13) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.28 (#3) | 3.46 (#8) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.45 (#3) | 4.08 (#10) |
| RPI | 0.640 (#6) | 0.623 (#10) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | UK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 48.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 37.4% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 38.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.47 | 1.57 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 55.9% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 14.9% |
| ORB% | 35.5% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.6% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 14.2% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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