Twenty-one years in captivity / His shoes too small to fit his feet "Nelson Mandela" - The Specials
Southeastern Conference · Food City Center · March 9, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread TENN -8.5 Away covered
O/U 167.5 Under
Money TENN -400 / UK +280
Model Predictions
Spread Total TENN win
Actual UK +4 166 Lost
Massey TENN -8.2 (-12.2)
Massey Totals 166.0 (+0.0)
Bradley-Terry 82%
Weighted B-T 84%
Baseline Plus ML TENN -8.3 (-12.3) 162.8 (+3.2) 73%
Model 4 ML TENN -9.8 (-13.8) 162.1 (+3.9) 76%
Model 3 ML TENN -8.6 (-12.6) 165.3 (+0.7) 79%
Baseline ML TENN -7.9 (-11.9) 162.0 (+4.0) 76%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 8, 2026 UK 7471 TENN
Jan 17, 2026 UK 8078 TENN
Mar 28, 2025 TENN 7865 UK
Feb 12, 2025 UK 7564 TENN
Jan 29, 2025 UK 7873 TENN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings TENN UK
Overall 27-9 23-10
Conference 14-4 13-5
Home 14-2 14-4
Away 8-3 7-3
Neutral 5-4 2-3
Last 5 5-0 4-1
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 78.8 89.0
Avg Pts Against 67.4 79.7
Massey 19.9 (#5) 15.0 (#19)
Bradley-Terry 3.20 (#4) 2.31 (#23)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.96 (#4) 3.01 (#19)
RPI 0.648 (#3) 0.585 (#42)
Shooting & Four Factors TENN UK
FG% 45.2% 49.8%
3PT% 34.7% 40.8%
REB / G 39.1 37.6
OREB / G 11.5 10.0
AST / TO 1.64 1.70
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.2% 57.3%
TOV% 14.6% 13.9%
ORB% 32.3% 28.8%
FT Rate 26.4% 23.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 44.6% 49.4%
Opp TOV% 18.6% 16.5%
DRB% 71.4% 69.9%
Opp FT Rate 24.9% 24.0%

Game Analysis

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