Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 167.5 Under |
| Money | TENN -400 UK +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UK +4 | 166 | Lost |
| Massey | TENN -8.2 (-12.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 166.0 (+0.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -8.6 (-12.6) | 165.3 (+0.7) | 79% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -9.8 (-13.8) | 162.1 (+3.9) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -8.3 (-12.3) | 162.8 (+3.2) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -7.9 (-11.9) | 162.0 (+4.0) | 76% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | UK 74 – 71 TENN |
| Jan 17, 2026 | UK 80 – 78 TENN |
| Mar 28, 2025 | TENN 78 – 65 UK |
| Feb 12, 2025 | UK 75 – 64 TENN |
| Jan 29, 2025 | UK 78 – 73 TENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | UK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-9 | 23-10 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 13-5 |
| Home | 14-2 | 14-4 |
| Away | 8-3 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 89.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 79.7 |
| Massey | 19.9 (#5) | 15.0 (#19) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.20 (#4) | 2.31 (#23) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.96 (#4) | 3.01 (#19) |
| RPI | 0.648 (#3) | 0.585 (#42) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | UK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 49.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 40.8% |
| REB / G | 39.1 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.64 | 1.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 57.3% |
| TOV% | 14.6% | 13.9% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.6% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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