Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | UK +140 TENN -165 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UK +11 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -1.1 (+12.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.6 (-8.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UK -0.6 (+10.4) | 143.2 (-4.2) | 52% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -0.2 (+11.2) | 147.1 (-8.1) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UK -1.1 (+9.9) | 145.7 (-6.7) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UK -1.0 (+10.0) | 142.7 (-3.7) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | UK 74 – 71 TENN |
| Jan 17, 2026 | UK 80 – 78 TENN |
| Mar 28, 2025 | TENN 78 – 65 UK |
| Jan 29, 2025 | UK 78 – 73 TENN |
| Mar 9, 2024 | UK 85 – 81 TENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UK | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 30-8 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 12-6 |
| Home | 15-3 | 16-1 |
| Away | 4-6 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 8-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 84.4 | 74.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.2 | 63.1 |
| Massey | 18.4 (#15) | 22.6 (#5) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.15 (#13) | 4.06 (#4) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.86 (#15) | 5.44 (#3) |
| RPI | 0.631 (#14) | 0.655 (#6) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UK | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.5% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 37.9% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 40.2 | 38.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.72 | 1.45 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.5% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 14.3% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 38.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 42.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.3% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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