Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | TENN -270 UK +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UK +2 | 158 | Lost |
| Massey | TENN -4.1 (-6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.3 (+9.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -5.0 (-7.0) | 147.4 (+10.6) | 75% ✗ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | TENN -5.2 (-7.2) | 145.6 (+12.4) | 74% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | TENN -6.0 (-8.0) | 146.5 (+11.5) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -5.1 (-7.1) | 148.2 (+9.8) | 76% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | UK 74 – 71 TENN |
| Mar 28, 2025 | TENN 78 – 65 UK |
| Feb 12, 2025 | UK 75 – 64 TENN |
| Jan 29, 2025 | UK 78 – 73 TENN |
| Mar 9, 2024 | UK 85 – 81 TENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | UK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-12 | 22-14 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 10-8 |
| Home | 14-3 | 14-4 |
| Away | 5-5 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 4-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 80.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 74.3 |
| Massey | 17.6 (#22) | 17.0 (#28) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.52 (#34) | 1.91 (#53) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.61 (#29) | 2.71 (#51) |
| RPI | 0.595 (#42) | 0.563 (#73) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | UK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.2% | 48.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 42.9 | 38.6 |
| OREB / G | 15.1 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 1.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.1% | 55.0% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 43.9% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 27.5% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.5% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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