Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | HOF -205 TOW +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +22 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | HOF -6.9 (+15.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.8 (-12.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -5.1 (+16.9) | 132.8 (-12.8) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -4.1 (+17.9) | 132.3 (-12.3) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -4.7 (+17.3) | 133.7 (-13.7) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -4.9 (+17.1) | 133.5 (-13.5) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2026 | HOF 68 – 65 TOW |
| Jan 8, 2026 | HOF 78 – 67 TOW |
| Jan 17, 2025 | TOW 65 – 60 HOF |
| Feb 3, 2024 | HOF 59 – 56 TOW |
| Feb 3, 2023 | HOF 76 – 72 TOW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOF | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 9-9 |
| Home | 10-2 | 11-3 |
| Away | 9-8 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.4 | 67.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 66.4 |
| Massey | 3.9 (#110) | 0.0 (#166) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.48 (#124) | -0.07 (#176) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.71 (#112) | -0.19 (#183) |
| RPI | 0.551 (#76) | 0.526 (#120) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOF | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 37.9% | 27.1% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 13.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 35.4% | 36.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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