Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | HOF -175 TOW +138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +3 | 115 | Won |
| Massey | HOF -3.2 (-0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.1 (-16.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -2.3 (+0.7) | 133.1 (-18.1) | 58% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -2.7 (+0.3) | 132.5 (-17.5) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -2.3 (+0.7) | 134.2 (-19.2) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -2.0 (+1.0) | 134.9 (-19.9) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2026 | HOF 68 – 65 TOW |
| Feb 7, 2026 | HOF 71 – 49 TOW |
| Jan 8, 2026 | HOF 78 – 67 TOW |
| Jan 17, 2025 | TOW 65 – 60 HOF |
| Feb 3, 2023 | HOF 76 – 72 TOW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOF | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 11-7 |
| Home | 11-2 | 12-2 |
| Away | 5-9 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-6 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.4 | 66.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 64.2 |
| Massey | 1.3 (#148) | 1.6 (#144) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.30 (#147) | 0.59 (#125) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.58 (#142) | 0.60 (#138) |
| RPI | 0.518 (#142) | 0.534 (#118) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOF | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 39.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 14.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 46.8% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 22.8% | 39.9% |
| FT Rate | 16.5% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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