Betting Lines
| Spread | TOW -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | TOW -130 HOF +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TOW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +11 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | HOF -2.8 (-8.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.1 (+14.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -2.9 (-8.1) | 131.2 (+13.8) | 40% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -2.4 (-8.6) | 132.4 (+12.6) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -3.5 (-7.5) | 130.6 (+14.4) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -3.1 (-7.9) | 130.3 (+14.7) | 31% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2026 | HOF 68 – 65 TOW |
| Feb 7, 2026 | HOF 71 – 49 TOW |
| Jan 17, 2025 | TOW 65 – 60 HOF |
| Feb 3, 2024 | HOF 59 – 56 TOW |
| Feb 3, 2023 | HOF 76 – 72 TOW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TOW | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 12-6 |
| Home | 11-3 | 10-2 |
| Away | 3-10 | 9-8 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.1 | 74.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 68.2 |
| Massey | -0.9 (#181) | 5.6 (#103) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.24 (#197) | 1.46 (#76) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.32 (#192) | 1.56 (#87) |
| RPI | 0.512 (#146) | 0.602 (#37) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TOW | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.4% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 25.6% | 37.9% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 14.2 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.3% | 53.6% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 37.1% | 34.6% |
| FT Rate | 17.5% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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