Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | HOF -185 TOW +154 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +3 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | HOF -5.8 (-2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.9 (+5.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -4.8 (-1.8) | 130.2 (+2.8) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -5.9 (-2.9) | 129.7 (+3.3) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -5.2 (-2.2) | 129.9 (+3.1) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -4.8 (-1.8) | 128.0 (+5.0) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | HOF 71 – 49 TOW |
| Jan 8, 2026 | HOF 78 – 67 TOW |
| Jan 17, 2025 | TOW 65 – 60 HOF |
| Feb 3, 2024 | HOF 59 – 56 TOW |
| Feb 3, 2023 | HOF 76 – 72 TOW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOF | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 9-9 |
| Home | 10-2 | 11-3 |
| Away | 9-8 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.4 | 67.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 66.4 |
| Massey | 6.2 (#93) | 0.4 (#160) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.78 (#101) | 0.16 (#151) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.10 (#97) | 0.12 (#151) |
| RPI | 0.562 (#62) | 0.539 (#94) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOF | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 29.3% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 38.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 13.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 34.4% | 35.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.9% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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