Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | HOF -154 TOW +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +4 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | HOF -6.7 (-2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.1 (+9.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -5.3 (-1.3) | 138.8 (+9.2) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -3.9 (+0.1) | 137.5 (+10.5) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -5.4 (-1.4) | 139.8 (+8.2) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -5.5 (-1.5) | 139.5 (+8.5) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2026 | HOF 68 – 65 TOW |
| Feb 7, 2026 | HOF 71 – 49 TOW |
| Jan 8, 2026 | HOF 78 – 67 TOW |
| Jan 17, 2025 | TOW 65 – 60 HOF |
| Feb 3, 2024 | HOF 59 – 56 TOW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOF | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 12-6 |
| Home | 11-2 | 10-2 |
| Away | 11-5 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.9 | 66.7 |
| Massey | 4.2 (#106) | 1.1 (#149) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.14 (#80) | 0.57 (#123) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.34 (#83) | 0.64 (#127) |
| RPI | 0.581 (#48) | 0.518 (#152) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOF | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 6.9 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.8% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 21.8% | 35.8% |
| FT Rate | 16.6% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.0% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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