Betting Lines
| Spread | TEM -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | ECU +120 TEM -142 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ECU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEM +8 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | TEM -4.9 (-3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.5 (+9.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEM -2.2 (-5.8) | 140.7 (+13.3) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEM -4.1 (-3.9) | 140.1 (+13.9) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEM -4.2 (-3.8) | 140.9 (+13.1) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEM -4.3 (-3.7) | 141.9 (+12.1) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 8, 2026 | TEM 75 – 67 ECU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | TEM 98 – 94 ECU |
| Jan 9, 2025 | ECU 80 – 79 TEM |
| Jan 28, 2024 | ECU 70 – 64 TEM |
| Jan 11, 2024 | ECU 73 – 62 TEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ECU | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 8-10 |
| Home | 7-10 | 10-6 |
| Away | 4-8 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.5 | 73.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -7.3 (#275) | 0.6 (#152) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.29 (#281) | 0.25 (#140) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.97 (#300) | 0.19 (#148) |
| RPI | 0.457 (#250) | 0.504 (#166) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ECU | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.4% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 28.0% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.7% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 26.9% | 33.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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