Betting Lines
| Spread | ECU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | ECU -155 TEM +135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ECU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ECU +1 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | ECU -0.0 (+1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.0 (+13.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 31% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 29% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ECU -0.0 (+1.0) | 144.4 (+14.6) | 50% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ECU -1.0 (+0.0) | 147.4 (+11.6) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEM -0.1 (+1.1) | 146.8 (+12.2) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEM -0.3 (+1.3) | 145.6 (+13.4) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | TEM 81 – 73 ECU |
| Jan 8, 2026 | TEM 75 – 67 ECU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | TEM 98 – 94 ECU |
| Jan 28, 2024 | ECU 70 – 64 TEM |
| Jan 11, 2024 | ECU 73 – 62 TEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ECU | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 9-9 |
| Home | 12-6 | 12-2 |
| Away | 4-6 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 77.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.9 | 77.6 |
| Massey | -1.7 (#192) | 2.3 (#121) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.01 (#263) | 0.57 (#122) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.20 (#258) | 0.56 (#135) |
| RPI | 0.447 (#269) | 0.548 (#87) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ECU | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 26.2% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 13.7 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.5% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 35.0% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 27.9% | 31.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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