Betting Lines
| Spread | TEM -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | TEM -150 ECU +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEM +4 | 192 | Won |
| Massey | TEM -5.1 (-1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.8 (+41.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEM -4.4 (-0.4) | 146.8 (+45.2) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEM -3.4 (+0.6) | 148.0 (+44.0) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEM -4.8 (-0.8) | 149.2 (+42.8) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEM -4.7 (-0.7) | 147.0 (+45.0) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | TEM 81 – 73 ECU |
| Jan 8, 2026 | TEM 75 – 67 ECU |
| Jan 9, 2025 | ECU 80 – 79 TEM |
| Jan 28, 2024 | ECU 70 – 64 TEM |
| Jan 11, 2024 | ECU 73 – 62 TEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEM | ECU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 10-8 |
| Home | 12-2 | 12-6 |
| Away | 3-9 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 74.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 73.9 |
| Massey | 1.9 (#130) | 0.1 (#164) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#125) | -0.03 (#176) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.52 (#136) | -0.25 (#189) |
| RPI | 0.540 (#107) | 0.499 (#182) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEM | ECU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 13.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 35.3% |
| FT Rate | 32.4% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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