Betting Lines
| Spread | ECU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | ECU -275 TEM +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ECU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ECU +6 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | ECU -5.9 (+0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.7 (-3.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ECU -4.6 (+1.4) | 134.0 (-0.0) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ECU -3.8 (+2.2) | 134.1 (-0.1) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ECU -5.0 (+1.0) | 135.4 (-1.4) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ECU -4.5 (+1.5) | 134.1 (-0.1) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | TEM 81 – 73 ECU |
| Jan 8, 2026 | TEM 75 – 67 ECU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | TEM 98 – 94 ECU |
| Jan 9, 2025 | ECU 80 – 79 TEM |
| Jan 11, 2024 | ECU 73 – 62 TEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ECU | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 16-20 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 5-13 |
| Home | 11-9 | 5-9 |
| Away | 3-7 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 6-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 73.4 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#187) | -3.4 (#229) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.41 (#211) | -0.76 (#250) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.44 (#211) | -1.13 (#264) |
| RPI | 0.472 (#220) | 0.467 (#236) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ECU | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 37.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 44.2% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 34.4% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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