See my tailor, he's called Simon, I know it's going to fit. "Sex & Drugs & Rock & Roll" - Ian Dury
East Carolina Pirates
70 64 OT
FINAL Conference
Temple Owls
American Conference · Williams Arena at Minges Coliseum · January 28, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread ECU -6.5 Away covered
O/U 136.5 Under
Money ECU -275 / TEM +210
Model Predictions
Spread Total ECU win
Actual ECU +6 134 Won
Massey ECU -5.9 (+0.1)
Massey Totals 137.7 (-3.7)
Bradley-Terry 74%
Weighted B-T 81%
Baseline Plus ML ECU -5.0 (+1.0) 135.4 (-1.4) 72%
Model 4 ML ECU -3.8 (+2.2) 134.1 (-0.1) 67%
Model 3 ML ECU -4.6 (+1.4) 134.0 (-0.0) 70%
Baseline ML ECU -4.5 (+1.5) 134.1 (-0.1) 72%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 7, 2026 TEM 8173 ECU
Jan 8, 2026 TEM 7567 ECU
Feb 1, 2025 TEM 9894 ECU
Jan 9, 2025 ECU 8079 TEM
Jan 11, 2024 ECU 7362 TEM

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings ECU TEM
Overall 15-18 16-20
Conference 7-11 5-13
Home 11-9 5-9
Away 3-7 5-7
Neutral 1-2 6-4
Last 5 2-3 0-5
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 68.6 70.5
Avg Pts Against 70.6 73.4
Massey -1.1 (#187) -3.4 (#229)
Bradley-Terry -0.41 (#211) -0.76 (#250)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.44 (#211) -1.13 (#264)
RPI 0.472 (#220) 0.467 (#236)
Shooting & Four Factors ECU TEM
FG% 42.0% 37.4%
3PT% 31.2% 30.1%
REB / G 35.8 36.5
OREB / G 12.7 12.2
AST / TO 1.03 1.07
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.6% 44.2%
TOV% 16.3% 14.7%
ORB% 34.4% 29.6%
FT Rate 23.4% 22.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.8% 51.3%
Opp TOV% 19.3% 18.9%
DRB% 67.9% 70.0%
Opp FT Rate 23.9% 23.3%

Game Analysis

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