I like bread and butter. I like toast and jam. "Bread and Butter" - The Newbeats
Temple Owls
62 – 73
FINAL Conference
East Carolina Pirates
American Conference · Liacouras Center · January 11, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread TEM -1.5 Away covered
O/U 142.5 Under
Money TEM -110 / ECU +110
Model Predictions
Spread Total TEM win
Actual ECU +11 135 Lost
Massey TEM -5.0 (-16.0) — —
Massey Totals — 143.5 (-8.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 83% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 80% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML TEM -2.8 (-13.8) 137.3 (-2.3) 66% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ TEM -2.9 (-13.9) 139.2 (-4.2) 66% ✗
Baseline Plus ML TEM -2.6 (-13.6) 140.2 (-5.2) 65% ✗
Baseline ML TEM -2.8 (-13.8) 136.8 (-1.8) 65% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 7, 2026 TEM 81 – 73 ECU
Jan 8, 2026 TEM 75 – 67 ECU
Feb 1, 2025 TEM 98 – 94 ECU
Jan 9, 2025 ECU 80 – 79 TEM
Jan 28, 2024 ECU 70 – 64 TEM

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings TEM ECU
Overall 16-20 15-18
Conference 5-13 7-11
Home 5-9 11-9
Away 5-7 3-7
Neutral 6-4 1-2
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 70.5 68.6
Avg Pts Against 73.4 70.6
Massey -1.7 (#200) -2.5 (#221)
Bradley-Terry 0.15 (#166) -0.65 (#236)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.22 (#192) -0.76 (#229)
RPI 0.520 (#142) 0.456 (#250)
Shooting & Four Factors TEM ECU
FG% 37.7% 42.7%
3PT% 30.1% 30.7%
REB / G 38.1 36.1
OREB / G 12.1 13.2
AST / TO 1.08 1.10
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 44.6% 48.3%
TOV% 14.3% 16.0%
ORB% 28.6% 35.9%
FT Rate 23.8% 25.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.1% 51.1%
Opp TOV% 18.9% 19.7%
DRB% 71.0% 67.5%
Opp FT Rate 21.3% 24.6%

Game Analysis

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