Sometimes we're not prepared for adversity. "Mercy, Mercy, Mercy" - The Cannonball Adderley Quartet
Temple Owls
62 73
FINAL Conference
East Carolina Pirates
American Conference · Liacouras Center · January 11, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread TEM -1.5 Away covered
O/U 142.5 Under
Money TEM -110 / ECU +110
Model Predictions
Spread Total TEM win
Actual ECU +11 135 Lost
Massey TEM -5.0 (-16.0)
Massey Totals 143.5 (-8.5)
Bradley-Terry 83%
Weighted B-T 80%
Baseline Plus ML TEM -2.6 (-13.6) 140.2 (-5.2) 65%
Model 4 ML TEM -2.9 (-13.9) 139.2 (-4.2) 66%
Model 3 ML TEM -2.8 (-13.8) 137.3 (-2.3) 66%
Baseline ML TEM -2.8 (-13.8) 136.8 (-1.8) 65%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 7, 2026 TEM 8173 ECU
Jan 8, 2026 TEM 7567 ECU
Feb 1, 2025 TEM 9894 ECU
Jan 9, 2025 ECU 8079 TEM
Jan 28, 2024 ECU 7064 TEM

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings TEM ECU
Overall 16-20 15-18
Conference 5-13 7-11
Home 5-9 11-9
Away 5-7 3-7
Neutral 6-4 1-2
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 70.5 68.6
Avg Pts Against 73.4 70.6
Massey -1.7 (#200) -2.5 (#221)
Bradley-Terry 0.15 (#166) -0.65 (#236)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.22 (#192) -0.76 (#229)
RPI 0.520 (#142) 0.456 (#250)
Shooting & Four Factors TEM ECU
FG% 37.7% 42.7%
3PT% 30.1% 30.7%
REB / G 38.1 36.1
OREB / G 12.1 13.2
AST / TO 1.08 1.10
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 44.6% 48.3%
TOV% 14.3% 16.0%
ORB% 28.6% 35.9%
FT Rate 23.8% 25.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.1% 51.1%
Opp TOV% 18.9% 19.7%
DRB% 71.0% 67.5%
Opp FT Rate 21.3% 24.6%

Game Analysis

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