Betting Lines
| Spread | TEM -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | TEM -410 ECU +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEM +8 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | TEM -13.9 (-5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.8 (-8.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEM -12.2 (-4.2) | 141.3 (+0.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEM -8.4 (-0.4) | 142.0 (-0.0) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEM -12.2 (-4.2) | 143.9 (-1.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEM -11.9 (-3.9) | 140.7 (+1.3) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | TEM 81 – 73 ECU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | TEM 98 – 94 ECU |
| Jan 9, 2025 | ECU 80 – 79 TEM |
| Jan 28, 2024 | ECU 70 – 64 TEM |
| Jan 11, 2024 | ECU 73 – 62 TEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEM | ECU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 6-12 |
| Home | 10-6 | 7-10 |
| Away | 5-6 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.0 | 71.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 77.7 |
| Massey | -0.0 (#169) | -10.2 (#313) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.19 (#159) | -1.19 (#268) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#146) | -1.98 (#289) |
| RPI | 0.506 (#161) | 0.482 (#207) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEM | ECU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 39.1% |
| 3PT% | 37.6% | 25.6% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.48 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 43.2% |
| TOV% | 13.2% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 32.4% | 27.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
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