Then she opened up a book of poems and handed it to me, written by an Italian poet from the thirteenth century. "Tangled Up in Blue" - Bob Dylan
Temple Owls
75 67
FINAL Conference
East Carolina Pirates
American Conference · Liacouras Center · January 8, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread TEM -7.5 Home covered
O/U 143.5 Under
Money TEM -410 / ECU +320
Model Predictions
Spread Total TEM win
Actual TEM +8 142 Won
Massey TEM -13.9 (-5.9)
Massey Totals 150.8 (-8.8)
Bradley-Terry 88%
Weighted B-T 96%
Baseline Plus ML TEM -12.2 (-4.2) 143.9 (-1.9) 86%
Model 4 ML TEM -8.4 (-0.4) 142.0 (-0.0) 83%
Model 3 ML TEM -12.2 (-4.2) 141.3 (+0.7) 88%
Baseline ML TEM -11.9 (-3.9) 140.7 (+1.3) 87%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 7, 2026 TEM 8173 ECU
Feb 1, 2025 TEM 9894 ECU
Jan 9, 2025 ECU 8079 TEM
Jan 28, 2024 ECU 7064 TEM
Jan 11, 2024 ECU 7362 TEM

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings TEM ECU
Overall 16-16 11-20
Conference 8-10 6-12
Home 10-6 7-10
Away 5-6 4-8
Neutral 1-4 0-2
Last 5 5-0 2-3
Streak L2 L2
Avg Pts For 73.0 71.5
Avg Pts Against 71.2 77.7
Massey -0.0 (#169) -10.2 (#313)
Bradley-Terry 0.19 (#159) -1.19 (#268)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.38 (#146) -1.98 (#289)
RPI 0.506 (#161) 0.482 (#207)
Shooting & Four Factors TEM ECU
FG% 46.0% 39.1%
3PT% 37.6% 25.6%
REB / G 33.3 35.5
OREB / G 9.4 12.7
AST / TO 1.48 0.82
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.7% 43.2%
TOV% 13.2% 18.5%
ORB% 28.5% 33.5%
FT Rate 32.4% 27.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.9% 53.9%
Opp TOV% 15.2% 18.3%
DRB% 69.9% 68.5%
Opp FT Rate 22.6% 26.0%

Game Analysis

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