Betting Lines
| Spread | SHU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Under |
| Money | MAN +105 SHU -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MAN +12 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | SHU -1.7 (+13.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 166.1 (-18.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHU -0.1 (+12.1) | 155.9 (-7.9) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHU -1.5 (+13.5) | 154.4 (-6.4) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SHU -1.0 (+13.0) | 157.5 (-9.5) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHU -1.0 (+13.0) | 155.5 (-7.5) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2025 | MAN 90 – 74 SHU |
| Feb 2, 2025 | SHU 74 – 72 MAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MAN | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 9-11 |
| Home | 7-7 | 8-5 |
| Away | 3-12 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 74.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.6 | 77.6 |
| Massey | -12.9 (#341) | -8.3 (#292) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.72 (#315) | -1.27 (#279) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.41 (#322) | -1.48 (#271) |
| RPI | 0.435 (#296) | 0.458 (#248) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MAN | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 55.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 61.5% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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