Betting Lines
| Spread | SHU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | SHU -210 MAN +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHU +2 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | SHU -2.2 (-0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.2 (-17.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHU -2.2 (-0.2) | 155.9 (-9.9) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHU -1.0 (+1.0) | 155.2 (-9.2) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHU -0.9 (+1.1) | 156.6 (-10.6) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHU -0.4 (+1.6) | 156.6 (-10.6) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | MAN 80 – 68 SHU |
| Mar 7, 2025 | MAN 90 – 74 SHU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHU | MAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 17-14 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 12-8 |
| Home | 8-5 | 9-5 |
| Away | 5-11 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 75.2 |
| Massey | -6.6 (#272) | -5.7 (#255) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.31 (#282) | -0.69 (#231) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.47 (#273) | -1.16 (#249) |
| RPI | 0.448 (#265) | 0.468 (#238) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHU | MAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.2% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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