The black queen chants the funeral march, the cracked brass bells will ring / To summon back the fire witch to the court of the crimson king "The Court of the Crimson King" - King Crimson
Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference · Draddy Gymnasium · March 7, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread MAN -2.5 Home covered
O/U 155.5 Over
Money MAN -135 / SHU +115
Model Predictions
Spread Total MAN win
Actual MAN +16 164 Won
Massey MAN -3.9 (+12.1)
Massey Totals 161.6 (+2.4)
Bradley-Terry 70%
Weighted B-T 71%
Efficiency Plus ML MAN -3.8 (+12.2) 151.6 (+12.4) 68%
Baseline Tuned ML MAN -3.1 (+12.9) 151.8 (+12.2) 66%
Baseline ML MAN -2.8 (+13.2) 152.2 (+11.8) 66%
Baseline Plus ML MAN -3.0 (+13.0) 153.3 (+10.7) 69%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 7, 2026 MAN 8068 SHU
Feb 2, 2025 SHU 7472 MAN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings MAN SHU
Overall 17-14 15-18
Conference 12-8 10-10
Home 9-5 8-5
Away 8-7 5-11
Neutral 0-2 2-2
Last 5 3-2 3-2
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 75.9 75.1
Avg Pts Against 75.2 75.7
Massey -4.8 (#245) -5.5 (#255)
Bradley-Terry -0.61 (#225) -0.89 (#251)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.94 (#240) -1.19 (#259)
RPI 0.484 (#210) 0.480 (#227)
Shooting & Four Factors MAN SHU
FG% 43.8% 43.7%
3PT% 34.4% 35.0%
REB / G 36.1 36.6
OREB / G 11.5 11.4
AST / TO 1.28 1.31
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.9% 51.4%
TOV% 16.9% 17.6%
ORB% 32.0% 31.1%
FT Rate 23.7% 19.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.1% 51.9%
Opp TOV% 15.7% 17.4%
DRB% 67.8% 70.7%
Opp FT Rate 19.0% 21.1%

Game Analysis

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